This is uncomfortable to write. The first reason is because this Thursday night game is between two of the least sexy teams. Sam Darnold and some guy named Davis Mills? Uh okay. Whatever. Give me the under I guess? I don’t know what the under is, but probably definitely that number is too high. Maybe Davis Mills is the New Tom Brady. Tom Brady got his start in 2001 because Drew Bledsoe was maybe a sexual criminal and the second string guy couldn’t stay healthy, right? No? Hmm. Okay then yeah, this game will suck butts.
The second reason is because I’m one bad week from smashing the panic button and telling you to fade me. I’m 1-6-1 right now and I hate it. Yeah, 3 of those losses have been by one point, but goddamn, a loss is a loss. I’ll own that.
Let’s get back to it. I’ll do what I do best and not think about this too hard. That was my bread and butter in my pregame run. Fuck this wrinkl… no. Fuck this smooth blob in my skull that does me nothing.
Let’s do TNF.
Panthers @ Texans (Panthers -8, O/U 43)
43 is kind of low actually. I don’t really want to spend my Thursday night sweating out an under bet, so that’s definitely not the play. 8 points though? 8 points is a lot of points. Part of me wants to say give Houston 8 points, but also, they’re going to be heavily reliant on running the ball with a young QB and Carolina’s defense (which is actually the best in the league right now) is going to shut them down. Houston’s defense is also pretty bad too. Giving up 21 points to a bad Jaguars team and 37 to a good Browns team.
Ah fuck it. The Texans can’t possibly be as bad as I think they are. Texans +8.
I’m gonna be honest with you. I teased this line down to Carolina -1.5 when the line came out as Carolina -7.5. And After not thinking about this as aggressively as I have, I’m not going to be surprised if the Texans win this game outright just to make the world a more difficult place.
Whatever. Texans +8.